Fred’s Inc. (FRED) Shares Tick Up after Upgrade at Deutsche Bank AG

Fred’s Inc. (NASDAQ: FRED) shares rose in value in early trading today on lower trade volume than normal after a number of analysts weighed in on the investing value of the stock with a upgraded rating.

Analysts at Deutsche Bank AG upgraded shares of Fred’s Inc. (NASDAQ: FRED) from Sell to Hold today. With a rating of Hold on the shares, the company has a 52-week high of $17.14. As a means of comparison, a number of other analysts have spoken on the stock in recent days, and Fred’s Inc. has earned a consensus one-year price target of $10.80, above the opening price of $9.46, a difference of 10.76 percent. Typically, after analysts issue an upgrade report on a stock, they will subsequently issue recurring revisions, such as a price target change.

Meanwhile, US stock opened lower amid concerns surrounding the U.S. Department of Justice’s probe into Deutsche Bank AG.

The S&P 500 SPX, -0.25% slipped 5 points, or 0.2%, to 2,162.

The Dow industrials DJIA, -0.26% fell 55 points, or 0.3%, to 18,252.

The Nasdaq Composite COMP, -0.11% was off 13 points, or 0.3%, to 5,298

Fred’s Inc. (NASDAQ: FRED) shares last traded at $10.04, which represents an increase of $0.98 or 0.11 from the previous closing price. Opening at $9.46, they fluctuated from $9.36 and $10.04 throughout the day.

Fred’s Inc. (NASDAQ: FRED) currently has a market cap of 374.97M.

Fred’s Inc.Trading Volume

67,472 shares crossed the trading desk yesterday, lower than normal, out of a total float 30,310,000. Swing traders often use swings in trading volume to determine substantial volume aggregation or circulation by institutional investors, so trading volume is likely to increase in the next few days.

As with all possible breakouts, investors look for volume to be at least 40%-50% above normal on the breakout to show that fund managers and other professional investors are jumping in.

Institutional sponsorship simply refers to ownership of a stock by mutual funds, banks, pension funds and other large institutions.

Institutional investors such as these retain teams of analysts researching thousands of stocks, so it is good validation to see them buying a stock you’re considering.

Fred’s Inc. Moving Averages

A moving average can also act as support or resistance. In an uptrend a 50-day, 100-day or 200-day moving average may act as a support level, as shown in the figure below.

This is because the average acts like a floor (support), so the price bounces up off of it.

In a downtrend a moving average may act as resistance; like a ceiling, the price hits it and then starts to drop again.

By identifying trends, moving averages allow traders to make those trends work in their favor and increase the number of successful trades.

Trades for Fred’s Inc. (NASDAQ: FRED) have ranged from $8.98 – 17.14, and the stock now has a 50-day MA of $11.30 and 200-day MA of $14.02. Today’s last price is 0.41% lower than the 52 week high of $17.14.

Indeed, earnings growth is among the most critical things to look at in regards to stock investing and, accordingly, investors seek companies that have raised their earnings by at least 25% for the past 3 years.

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